Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.000653 0.000749 0.000850 0.000966 0.001093 0.001229 0.001384
2025-04-13 0.000496 0.000625 0.000772 0.000952 0.001162 0.001399 0.001685
2025-04-20 0.000428 0.000575 0.000750 0.000972 0.001242 0.001557 0.001949
2025-04-27 0.000374 0.000532 0.000729 0.000986 0.001311 0.001700 0.002198
2025-05-04 0.000321 0.000483 0.000692 0.000975 0.001342 0.001793 0.002383
2025-05-11 0.000276 0.000437 0.000654 0.000956 0.001359 0.001866 0.002542
2025-05-18 0.000249 0.000413 0.000641 0.000969 0.001415 0.001987 0.002763
2025-05-25 0.000223 0.000388 0.000624 0.000972 0.001455 0.002088 0.002959
2025-06-01 0.000191 0.000350 0.000585 0.000941 0.001448 0.002124 0.003070
2025-06-08 0.000164 0.000317 0.000550 0.000913 0.001442 0.002158 0.003177
2025-06-15 0.000147 0.000297 0.000534 0.000910 0.001469 0.002239 0.003347
2025-06-22 0.000132 0.000279 0.000519 0.000908 0.001496 0.002318 0.003516
2025-06-29 0.000117 0.000260 0.000499 0.000899 0.001513 0.002385 0.003671
2025-07-06 0.000102 0.000239 0.000476 0.000882 0.001517 0.002433 0.003801
2025-07-13 0.000096 0.000233 0.000477 0.000902 0.001578 0.002563 0.004048
2025-07-20 0.000088 0.000225 0.000474 0.000915 0.001628 0.002678 0.004276
2025-07-27 0.000078 0.000210 0.000457 0.000905 0.001640 0.002737 0.004424
2025-08-03 0.000069 0.000193 0.000436 0.000887 0.001639 0.002777 0.004544
2025-08-10 0.000064 0.000187 0.000433 0.000899 0.001687 0.002889 0.004771
2025-08-17 0.000058 0.000179 0.000426 0.000901 0.001718 0.002977 0.004965
2025-08-24 0.000049 0.000162 0.000401 0.000873 0.001697 0.002985 0.005039
2025-08-31 0.000042 0.000147 0.000379 0.000846 0.001677 0.002993 0.005113
2025-09-07 0.000038 0.000140 0.000370 0.000844 0.001698 0.003064 0.005283